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Analyze • Macro

Advanced macroeconomic analysis

A structured view of cycles (growth, inflation, rates, liquidity, credit) to document robust investment and funding decisions.

Scope

We focus on macro drivers shaping market regimes: growth trajectory, inflation dynamics, monetary policy, financial conditions, risk premia, credit and liquidity. The objective is not a single-point forecast, but identifying regimes, risk asymmetries and operational implications for allocation and financing.

Beyond market commentary

We formalise hypotheses, scenarios and alert levels. We separate event noise from state variables (trend and conditions), then translate into actions: duration, value/growth tilt, credit exposure, hedging and sequencing.

Method & tools (examples)

Hybrid approach: macro narrative + quantified indicators + actionable scenarios.

01
Macro regimes
Growth/inflation mapping and phase identification.
02
Financial conditions
Real rates, curve, spreads, USD/liquidity and valuation transmission.
03
Scenarios & stress-tests
Structured scenarios with pivot variables and allocation responses.
04
Decision translation
Target allocation, exposure bands, rebalancing rules and hedging.

FAQ

How often do you update? +

Ad hoc (before a decision), monthly (committee), or continuously during volatile periods.

Is it a point forecast? +

No—there is a base case plus variants, pivot variables and invalidation thresholds.

Can this be linked to refinancing decisions? +

Yes—rates/spreads/liquidity translate into timing, structure (tenor, fixed/float) and hedging.

Request an analysis

If you need to frame a macro regime, document scenarios, or connect rates/spreads to an investment or refinancing decision—let’s talk.

Contact Us

Get in touch

Describe your need in a few lines. We will revert with clear framing, a method, and next steps.

Consultant
M. Baptiste DEHAY
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